Methodology

How the Can One Parent Stay Home? calculator works

The Can One Parent Stay Home? calculator runs a household year by year, in today's dollars, three ways: both parents working full time, one parent ("earner 2") at home for a number of years and then back at work, and earner 2 working part time for those years. This page explains each step, the 2026 rules it uses and what it leaves out.

The three scenarios

Earner 1's pay is the same in every scenario. Both earners' pay grows by the pay-growth assumption (default 1% a year above inflation). Everything is in today's dollars.

Taxes: the second income stacks on the first

A second income isn't taxed on its own. On a joint return it's added on top of the first, so its first dollar is taxed at the household's top bracket. The calculator works out the whole household's tax in each scenario, and the second income's tax is the difference. With earner 1 at $90,000 and earner 2 at $50,000, married filing jointly with the standard deduction and no 401(k):

The pieces:

Childcare

Each child under 5 costs the full-time childcare figure you enter. Each child from 5 to 12 costs the school-age figure (before- and after-school care and summer). From 13, no paid care. Enter a child who isn't born yet as −1 (born next year). Paid care is needed only in a year when both parents work.

The two childcare tax breaks

The 2025 tax law (Public Law 119-21, the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act") changed both for 2026:

The two can't cover the same dollars: every FSA dollar reduces the credit's $3,000 or $6,000 limit. With one child and a $7,500 FSA, no credit is left; with two children and $6,000 or more in the FSA, none is left either. Because of that, the best choice is all of one or the other: either the FSA for as much as you're allowed, or no FSA and the full credit. By default the calculator works out both and uses whichever leaves less tax; you can force either one.

A worked example (pinned by the test suite): the $90,000 / $50,000 couple above with one child and $15,000 of care. Their AGI of $140,000 gives a 35% credit, so the credit alone is 35% × $3,000 = $1,050. A $7,500 FSA saves $1,600 of federal tax (most of it at 22%) plus $573.75 of FICA, $2,173.75, and leaves no credit. The FSA wins by $1,123.75. At lower incomes the 35% to 50% credit can beat the FSA; in the default example, the part-time scenario uses the credit for that reason.

Child Tax Credit

$2,200 per child under 17 for 2026 (section 24 as amended by Public Law 119-21; Revenue Procedure 2025-32). It falls by $50 for each $1,000 (or part) of AGI over $400,000 on a joint return ($200,000 otherwise). The part that's more than the tax owed is refundable up to $1,700 per child, at 15% of earned income over $2,500. At most incomes it's the same with one income or two, so it doesn't change the answer, but it's in each scenario's tax. The calculator assumes each child has a Social Security number, as the credit requires.

What the second job adds

For each year: the household's take-home pay with both working, less childcare and earner 2's work costs, minus the household's take-home pay with one income. Take-home pay is pay less taxes (after credits), 401(k) contributions and any pre-tax health premium change. So the figure already includes the extra tax, the childcare tax break, and the Child Tax Credit. Earner 2's own 401(k) contributions are counted as savings, not spending: they're in the long-run figures below instead.

The scoreboard shows year one. Childcare usually falls as children start school, so the stress table also shows the average over the years at home.

The budget on one income

Take-home pay with one income, less the household's monthly spending (everything except childcare, work costs, taxes and retirement savings) and the spousal IRA if you fund one. A negative number is the monthly gap you'd need to cover from savings or by spending less. The stress table shows the tightest year at home.

The long-run cost

Two parts, both in today's dollars, from now to earner 2's retirement age (default 67):

The pay on return is an assumption, not an official figure. The default of 82% is the average from a survey of highly qualified women by the Center for Work-Life Policy (Hewlett and Luce, "Off-Ramps and On-Ramps", Harvard Business Review, March 2005): those who took time out earned 18% less on return on average, 11% less after less than a year, and 37% less after three or more years. Studies of the motherhood wage penalty find smaller, per-child effects, around 4–7% per child. Results vary widely by field; set your own figure.

Spousal IRA

A spouse with no pay can contribute to an IRA based on the working spouse's pay, if they file jointly (IRS Publication 590-A), up to the 2026 limit of $7,500. It's on by default because it's the main way to keep saving while at home. The calculator counts it as savings out of take-home pay and assumes no tax deduction, as with a Roth IRA; a traditional IRA contribution may be deductible, which would make it a little cheaper.

Social Security

Not calculated. The tool shows the number of years with no earnings on earner 2's record. Retirement benefits are based on a person's 35 highest-earning years, so zero years can lower their own benefit. A spouse can get a spousal benefit of up to 50% of the other's benefit at full retirement age, if that's higher than their own. Use the Social Security Claiming Age Calculator and your records at ssa.gov to see both.

Stress tests

Each row changes one thing and reruns every year:

What the model leaves out

Sources

Every official figure and its source is listed on the Sources page, along with the model's own assumptions.

Screenshot of the Can One Parent Stay Home? Try it Can One Parent Stay Home? What the second job really adds after tax, childcare and work costs. Open the tool →